Climate induced changes on the hydrology of Mediterranean basins: Reducing uncertainty and quantifying risk through an integrated monitoring and modeling system

El clima induce a cambios en la hidrología de las cuencas Mediterráneas: reducir la incertidumbre y cuantificar los riesgos a través de un sistema de modelización y monitoreo.

Socio principal: LUDWIG-MAXIMILIANS-UNIVERSITAET MUENCHEN

Socios participantes: CENTRE DE RECHERCHES ET DES TECHNOLOGIES DES EAUX TUNISIA ZAGAZIG UNIVERSITY EGYPT INSTITUT NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CANADA CONSORZIO INTERUNIVERSITARIO NAZIONALE PER LA FISICA DELLE ATMOSFERE E DELLE IDROSFERE ITALY AGRIS SARDEGNA - AGENZIA PER LA RICERCA IN AGRICOLTURA ITALY VISTA GEOWISSENSCHAFTLICHE FERNERKUNDUNG GMBH GERMANY GEBZE YUKSEK TEKNOLOJI ENSTITUSU TURKEY ISLAMIC UNIVERSITY OF GAZA WEST BANK AND GAZA STRIP CENTRO DI RICERCA, SVILUPPO E STUDI SUPERIORI IN SARDEGNA ITALY BAYERISCHE FORSCHUNGSALLIANZ GEMEINNUTZIGE GMBH GERMANY JOANNEUM RESEARCH FORSCHUNGSGESELLSCHAFT MBH AUSTRIA FORSCHUNGSZENTRUM JUELICH GMBH GERMANY UNIVERSITE D'ANGERS FRANCE UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI TRENTO ITALY UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI PADOVA ITALY DEUTSCHES ZENTRUM FUER LUFT - UND RAUMFAHRT EV GERMANY CHRISTIAN-ALBRECHTS-UNIVERSITAET ZU KIEL GERMANY CENTRE NATIONAL DU MACHINISME AGRICOLE, DU GENIE RURAL, DES EAUX ET DES FORETS FRANCE

Programa: Seventh Framework Programme

Inicio del proyecto: Vie, 01/01/2010

Finalización del proyecto: Mar, 31/12/2013

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With regard to the objectives specified in ENV-2009.1.1.5.2, modeling capabilities must be improved and appropriate tools developed to advance the capability to assess climate effects on water resources and uses. The project consortium will employ a combination of novel field monitoring concepts, remote sensing techniques, integrated hydrologic (and biophysical) modeling and socioeconomic factor analyses to reduce existing uncertainties in climate change impact analysis and to create an integrated quantitative risk and vulnerability assessment tool. Together, these will provide the necessary information to design appropriate adaptive water resources management instruments and select suitable agricultural practices under climate change conditions. The integrated risk and vulnerability analysis tool will also enable assessment of risks for conflict-inducing actions, e.g. migration. The improved models, new assessment tools, and their results will be evaluated against current methodologies. Improvements will be communicated to stakeholders and decision makers in a transparent, easy-to-understand form, enabling them to utilize the new findings in regional water resource and agricultural management initiatives as well as in the design of mechanisms to reduce potential for conflict (linkage to SSH-2009.4.2.1).